Ajax vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
19%
20%
61%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
NAP
1 - 0
AJA
32%
25%
43%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
ADO
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
SVV
0 - 6
AJA
22%
20%
58%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
RCH
1 - 2
AJA
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
FIO
1 - 2
NAP
64%
24%
12%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
NAP
1 - 0
VIC
56%
26%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1970 |
NAP
2 - 1
VER
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
PAL
0 - 0
NAP
35%
32%
34%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
NAP
0 - 0
INT
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |