Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VOL
1 - 2
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 1
UTR
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
HSV
0 - 1
AJA
34%
25%
40%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
AZA
2 - 0
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 1
PSV
59%
22%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 4
ADO
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SPA
4 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
NEC
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
3 - 0
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
0 - 1
NAC
18%
21%
61%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |