Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
4 - 1
RJC
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
GRO
3 - 2
AJA
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
INT
1 - 0
AJA
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
6 - 0
SPA
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
VIT
44%
26%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
TWE
1 - 0
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
RBC
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SCH
2 - 1
NAC
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |