Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
TWE
2 - 3
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 4
UTR
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
WIL
2 - 5
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 0
NAC
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ZWO
0 - 5
AJA
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
NAC
3 - 2
UTR
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
TER
0 - 3
NAC
7%
14%
80%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
NAC
5 - 3
RKC
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 0
NAC
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
AZA
2 - 2
NAC
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |