Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
ZWO
0 - 5
AJA
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 1
RBC
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRO
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
AZA
2 - 2
NAC
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 0
ADO
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
VOL
4 - 2
NAC
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 2
NAC
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 3
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |