Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
PSV
1 - 3
AJA
43%
21%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
AJA
0 - 1
FEY
51%
21%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
VVV
2 - 0
AJA
35%
22%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
AJA
4 - 0
MVV
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
TSV
1 - 4
AJA
18%
19%
63%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
NAC
2 - 1
GRO
63%
19%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
PSV
2 - 2
NAC
59%
19%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
NAC
0 - 0
SPA
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
ADO
2 - 3
NAC
44%
22%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
VVV
6 - 1
NAC
50%
22%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |