Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.4%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
2.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
VIT
3 - 0
AJA
35%
25%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
38%
25%
37%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
BOS
1 - 1
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
AJA
4 - 1
AZA
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 2
SPA
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
MVV
2 - 0
NEC
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
AZA
2 - 0
MVV
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
MVV
0 - 1
RKC
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
TWE
1 - 2
MVV
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
MVV
0 - 2
VIT
17%
22%
60%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |