Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1976 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
AJA
5 - 0
NAC
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
NAC
0 - 0
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
AJA
4 - 1
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
FEY
4 - 1
AJA
60%
21%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1976 |
MVV
1 - 1
TEL
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
RJC
2 - 0
MVV
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
MVV
0 - 2
RJC
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
TWE
5 - 0
MVV
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
MVV
1 - 1
EIN
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |