Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
DWS
1 - 1
AJA
52%
21%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
AJA
5 - 1
ADO
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
GAE
1 - 0
AJA
26%
20%
53%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
ENS
0 - 4
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
AJA
2 - 1
FOR
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
MVV
0 - 2
TEL
56%
23%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
MVV
1 - 0
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
MVV
3 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
SPA
5 - 1
MVV
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
MVV
2 - 2
VVD
46%
25%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |