Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
SHS
2 - 9
AJA
27%
22%
51%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
AJA
3 - 0
VVV
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
54%
20%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
WIL
5 - 1
AJA
29%
23%
48%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
AJA
1 - 4
ELI
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
MVV
2 - 4
WIL
64%
19%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
ELI
1 - 1
MVV
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
MVV
2 - 2
FOR
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
SPA
3 - 0
MVV
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
MVV
4 - 2
DWS
60%
20%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |