Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
EIN
0 - 3
AJA
19%
20%
60%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
AJA
4 - 2
GRO
68%
17%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
SPA
1 - 2
AJA
43%
22%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1956 |
AJA
1 - 0
NAC
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
MVV
2 - 5
VVD
51%
21%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
VVV
1 - 3
MVV
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
MVV
1 - 0
FOR
45%
22%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1956 |
PSV
1 - 3
MVV
76%
14%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +3 |