Ajax vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
6 - 0
GAE
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 2
VOL
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
46%
23%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
FCB
4 - 0
AJA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
ZWO
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
BOL
3 - 3
ACM
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 2
NAP
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
ACM
2 - 0
CEL
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
ACM
17%
24%
59%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | -1 |