Ajax vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ADO
1 - 4
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 2
AJA
47%
25%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
AJA
3 - 2
AZA
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 2
AJA
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 2
ACM
30%
27%
43%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
PAR
0 - 0
ACM
39%
27%
34%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
BRU
0 - 1
ACM
44%
26%
31%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
43%
26%
31%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SAM
0 - 3
ACM
21%
26%
53%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |