Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.1%
Win probability
4.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.1%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.5%
8-0
2.2%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.1%
7-0
4%
8-1
1.6%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.9%
6-0
6.2%
7-1
2.8%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
9.7%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
4.4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
14%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
4.4%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
4.4%
1.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1986 |
AJA
2 - 1
MVV
94%
5%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
AJA
8 - 2
AZA
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
MVV
1 - 4
AJA
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
AJA
9 - 0
SPA
89%
8%
4%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
UTR
0 - 2
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
HER
2 - 5
FEY
13%
17%
70%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
GAE
2 - 2
HER
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
RJC
4 - 1
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
HER
2 - 2
NEC
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |