Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 3
AJA
48%
22%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 0
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 1
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
22%
23%
56%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZWO
76%
15%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 2
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
GRO
3 - 1
SCH
26%
24%
50%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 0
FEY
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 3
SCH
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 1
PSV
21%
21%
57%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |