Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 8
AJA
20%
22%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 1
SLP
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
48%
23%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 0
AZA
51%
23%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 1
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 0
WIL
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 0
SCH
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
SCH
5 - 1
FEY
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 1
SCH
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 3
SCH
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |