Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 0
RKC
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
UTR
2 - 1
AJA
26%
24%
51%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
AJA
4 - 1
GRA
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2000 |
AJA
2 - 2
LAU
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2000 |
SCH
1 - 1
AZA
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
NEC
0 - 0
SCH
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
SCH
1 - 4
PSV
24%
24%
53%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
RJC
3 - 1
SCH
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2000 |
VCF
1 - 1
SCH
87%
9%
4%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |