Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 3
FEY
59%
20%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
NAC
2 - 2
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 0
RKC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 0
FOR
79%
14%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
GRA
1 - 3
AJA
21%
23%
55%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1999 |
SCH
0 - 1
WHU
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
WHU
1 - 0
SCH
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
HIF
0 - 2
SCH
29%
24%
47%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
SCH
2 - 0
HIF
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
SCH
0 - 0
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |