Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1996 |
ZAR
1 - 1
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
SPA
3 - 3
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 0
AJA
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1995 |
AJA
3 - 1
NEC
90%
8%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1995 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRA
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1996 |
SCH
1 - 3
PSV
22%
23%
56%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1995 |
RKC
2 - 3
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
SCH
3 - 2
RJC
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1995 |
SCH
0 - 1
FEY
30%
25%
44%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
VOL
1 - 1
SCH
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |