Ajax vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.7%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.5%
3.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
AJA
1 - 2
FEY
71%
16%
14%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
AJA
0 - 0
FCP
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
AJA
6 - 0
RJC
91%
7%
3%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
HFC
0 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
BOS
3 - 0
HFC
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
HFC
4 - 1
NEC
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
HFC
3 - 0
UTR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
FEY
2 - 0
HFC
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |