Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
UTR
3 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEY
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GAL
0 - 0
AJA
31%
23%
46%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 0
UTR
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
FEY
0 - 1
GRA
57%
23%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
SCH
4 - 0
GRA
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 0
PSV
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 0
GRA
73%
18%
10%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |