Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
TEL
1 - 1
AJA
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
AJA
5 - 3
TWE
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
EIN
2 - 3
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 0
MVV
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
FEY
8 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 2
AMS
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
UTR
3 - 0
GRA
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 3
AZA
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |