Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.2%
3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
WAG
0 - 2
AJA
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
AJA
5 - 1
NAC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
EXC
1 - 2
AJA
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
AJA
4 - 2
MVV
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
ADO
1 - 0
AJA
20%
26%
53%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
TEL
2 - 1
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
GRA
1 - 0
WAG
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRA
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
GRA
0 - 0
SPA
23%
27%
51%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
MVV
1 - 0
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |