Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 1
WIL
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
FEY
4 - 2
AJA
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
AJA
5 - 3
TWE
65%
19%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
MVV
1 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
SPA
4 - 3
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1980 |
GAE
3 - 1
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1980 |
GAE
1 - 3
AZA
17%
22%
62%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1980 |
ZWO
2 - 0
GAE
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
ADO
1 - 0
GAE
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
GAE
2 - 0
GRO
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |