Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
DWS
0 - 1
AJA
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
MVV
1 - 0
AJA
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
AJA
4 - 1
NEC
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
50%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
GAE
2 - 0
AZA
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
FEY
3 - 0
GAE
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
HFC
0 - 0
GAE
35%
30%
36%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
GAE
4 - 0
SHS
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
NAC
3 - 1
GAE
42%
29%
30%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |