Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
AJA
3 - 2
TWE
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 3
PSV
45%
23%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 3
NAC
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 1
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
AJA
0 - 1
FCK
73%
17%
11%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
TWE
1 - 1
FOR
65%
21%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
RJC
1 - 0
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
FOR
1 - 4
RKC
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
GRO
4 - 2
FOR
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2001 |
FOR
2 - 1
BVO
49%
24%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |