Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1988 |
AJA
1 - 0
YOB
85%
10%
5%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1988 |
BOS
0 - 2
AJA
14%
23%
64%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1988 |
YOB
0 - 1
AJA
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
ADO
1 - 1
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1988 |
FOR
4 - 1
FCD
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
UTR
2 - 1
FOR
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
FOR
1 - 0
TWE
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
PSV
2 - 2
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
SPA
1 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |