Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.1%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.2%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.4%
2.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
AJA
5 - 0
BUR
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
BVV
0 - 1
AJA
7%
14%
79%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
24%
23%
54%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
AJA
3 - 2
GAE
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
BUR
0 - 2
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
FOR
0 - 0
VVV
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
FOR
1 - 1
BVV
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
GAE
0 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
PSV
2 - 1
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
FOR
3 - 2
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |