Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 3
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 2
PSV
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 1
AJA
8%
14%
78%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ADO
2 - 4
AJA
6%
13%
81%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 4
UTR
72%
16%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
FEY
1 - 0
ZWO
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 2
FEY
15%
20%
64%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FEY
3 - 0
SCH
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 0
FEY
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
VVV
0 - 3
FEY
12%
19%
69%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | +1 |