Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
RKC
1 - 2
AJA
5%
13%
82%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 0
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
8%
15%
77%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
VCF
0 - 3
AJA
34%
24%
41%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
YOB
2 - 0
FEY
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FEY
1 - 1
HER
71%
18%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 2
FEY
10%
17%
73%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
FEY
2 - 0
FCP
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FEY
5 - 1
TWE
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |