Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AZA
3 - 2
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
RJC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
18%
20%
62%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 3
AJA
25%
23%
53%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 0
OSA
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
FEY
1 - 4
TWE
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ZWO
2 - 1
FEY
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FEY
3 - 1
GET
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
HHC
0 - 6
FEY
11%
18%
71%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FEY
1 - 0
NAC
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |