Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
UTR
0 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
62%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 3
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 4
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
RMA
4 - 1
AJA
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
FEY
2 - 1
GRO
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 2
FEY
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
FEY
3 - 2
ADO
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
FEY
18%
23%
59%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FEY
2 - 0
RKC
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |