Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GAL
0 - 0
AJA
31%
23%
46%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 0
AZA
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 1
AJA
12%
18%
71%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ACM
0 - 2
AJA
44%
22%
34%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 1
NEC
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 4
FEY
25%
23%
53%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
FEY
1 - 0
EXC
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 1
FEY
14%
21%
64%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
FEY
2 - 1
ADO
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 0
FEY
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |