KNVB Beker Final
Global 6-1
Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 0
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
13%
18%
70%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
7 - 0
VVV
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ADO
0 - 1
AJA
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 0
FEY
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
FEY
3 - 0
SPA
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PSV
0 - 0
FEY
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
FEY
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
FEY
2 - 1
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |