Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 2
PSV
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 1
AJA
12%
19%
69%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
NAC
4 - 2
AJA
18%
22%
61%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
FEY
2 - 2
AZA
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
FEY
1 - 1
GRO
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
FEY
3 - 1
TWE
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 1
FEY
19%
22%
59%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2008 |
DEU
0 - 4
FEY
6%
13%
81%
|
85 | 39 | 46 | 0 |