Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 3
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 0
HFC
79%
15%
6%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
NEC
2 - 2
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 0
RJC
70%
18%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
FEY
3 - 1
RKC
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
NAC
4 - 1
FEY
18%
22%
61%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 3
FEY
18%
21%
62%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
FEY
1 - 1
PSV
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
FEY
3 - 2
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |