Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1999 |
NAC
2 - 2
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 0
RKC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 0
FOR
79%
14%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
GRA
1 - 3
AJA
21%
23%
55%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
AJA
6 - 0
FEY
61%
20%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1999 |
FEY
2 - 1
VIT
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
NEC
0 - 3
FEY
19%
22%
59%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1999 |
RJC
1 - 0
FEY
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
FEY
3 - 1
TWE
68%
18%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
AJA
6 - 0
FEY
61%
20%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |