Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
26%
20%
54%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1962 |
AJA
1 - 1
PSV
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
FOR
1 - 0
AJA
29%
22%
49%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
WIL
2 - 3
AJA
28%
21%
51%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
AJA
2 - 1
VVD
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
FEY
1 - 1
ENS
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1963 |
FEY
1 - 1
REI
65%
17%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1963 |
REI
0 - 1
FEY
62%
19%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1962 |
SPA
3 - 0
FEY
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
FEY
6 - 2
HER
85%
10%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |