Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 1
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
PSV
2 - 1
AJA
44%
24%
32%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 3
AJA
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 2
FEY
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
RKC
0 - 2
ZWO
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ZWO
2 - 1
AZA
10%
18%
73%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ZWO
0 - 1
GAE
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 0
ZWO
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TWE
1 - 0
ZWO
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |