Ajax vs FC Volendam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 1
AJA
36%
25%
40%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEY
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
4 - 1
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 2
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 1
SCH
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
TWE
2 - 1
VOL
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VOL
3 - 5
PSV
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 2
VOL
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
VOL
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
VOL
0 - 1
ADO
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |