Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 3
TOT
53%
22%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 4
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
TOT
0 - 1
AJA
39%
24%
36%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 2
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
GRO
0 - 1
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
UTR
2 - 1
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
FCE
2 - 0
UTR
11%
19%
70%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
UTR
0 - 0
VIT
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ADO
5 - 0
UTR
21%
22%
57%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
VVV
2 - 6
UTR
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |