Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BVO
0 - 1
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZWO
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 2
AJA
44%
25%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 2
NEC
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 4
AJA
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UTR
3 - 1
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
UTR
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 2
ADO
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 4
UTR
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |