Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
WIL
2 - 5
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 0
NAC
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ZWO
0 - 5
AJA
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 1
RBC
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
TWE
0 - 1
UTR
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
VIT
3 - 0
UTR
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
UTR
2 - 0
GRO
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
RKC
1 - 0
UTR
35%
26%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
RJC
1 - 1
UTR
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |