Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2001 |
FOR
0 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 1
WIL
76%
14%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 3
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 2
VIT
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
AJA
5 - 1
TWE
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
UTR
3 - 1
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
UTR
1 - 1
NEC
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
RJC
2 - 0
UTR
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
UTR
2 - 1
RKC
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
GRA
0 - 3
UTR
37%
25%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |