Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
HJK
1 - 8
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
AJA
1 - 1
HFC
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 1
AJA
21%
25%
53%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
AJA
2 - 1
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
UTR
3 - 0
EXC
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
UTR
0 - 0
ADO
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
MVV
0 - 0
UTR
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
PSV
3 - 0
UTR
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |