Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.4%
Win probability
3.95
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
HFC
0 - 5
AJA
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
AJA
8 - 1
AZA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
AJA
2 - 1
SHS
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
BAS
1 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
UTR
2 - 1
SHS
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
NAC
1 - 2
UTR
44%
26%
29%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
UTR
0 - 3
PSV
41%
23%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
68%
16%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
UTR
1 - 1
SPA
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |