Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 3
AJA
12%
17%
71%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
UTR
2 - 0
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 2
AZA
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 1
GET
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
11%
16%
73%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 0
TWE
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
TWE
2 - 3
SCH
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
UTR
2 - 1
TWE
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
TWE
2 - 0
AZA
16%
22%
63%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
FCE
2 - 0
TWE
30%
26%
45%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -2 |