Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
BVO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FEY
1 - 2
AJA
25%
23%
53%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
RBS
3 - 1
AJA
26%
23%
51%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TWE
2 - 1
AZA
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GAE
1 - 0
TWE
21%
24%
55%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TWE
2 - 2
FEY
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
TWE
2 - 0
VIT
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |