Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 1
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
BVB
1 - 0
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
RKC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 2
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
RVV
0 - 1
TWE
5%
14%
81%
|
87 | 41 | 46 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 0
SCH
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
TWE
2 - 2
HAN
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 6
TWE
14%
21%
66%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 0
VVV
77%
16%
8%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |