Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
FOR
2 - 0
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
TWE
0 - 0
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2000 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
TWE
1 - 0
BVO
76%
16%
7%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
TWE
0 - 0
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
TWE
2 - 0
SCH
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2000 |
FOR
2 - 2
TWE
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
BOS
0 - 0
TWE
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |